Exponential Change

 The number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years.

Moore’s Law

10 years: 100×
20 years: 10.000×
30 years: 1.000.000×


Quote

Our customers expect that they will get a 20 percent increase in performance at the same price that they paid last year.

Diane Bryant, an Intel executive vice president

Examples

  • Digital camera resolution
  • Ubiquitous computing
  • Cubesats

Amara’s Law

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.

Roy Amara

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